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Red90
852231.3
262039.0
476816.2
Blue78
605715.4
505025.5
118944.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1019405001,0001,5002,0009078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+10Teleop
0Endgame0
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
11Coral scored#8
38Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
52Total teleop46
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
12Foul points0
90Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2620
#16
39.00.8
42.241.3
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End7.5
blue by 5.5
44.50.4
41.841.4
Auto7.4
Teleop28.4
End8.7
Second
8522
#31
31.30.8
31.030.2
Auto5.4
Teleop23.6
End2.3
red by 5.8
5050
#13
25.50.3
21.721.4
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End0.8
Third
4768
#28
16.21.1
14.913.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.5
red by 0.7
6057
#18
15.40.3
15.515.3
Auto2.1
Teleop8.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned