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Red86
718832.9
931238.8
504625.9
Blue87
561913.1
24022.8
608143.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9771204060801201401601808687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+13Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points6
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +1
10Coral scored#13
36Coral points47
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
60Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
86Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.80.2
32.833.0
Auto12.7
Teleop23.8
End2.3
blue by 4.2
6081
#29
43.01.5
33.134.6
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End6.1
Second
7188
#39
32.90.3
27.427.7
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End0.0
red by 10.0
240
#14
22.81.5
19.921.4
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End2.6
Third
5046
#27
25.90.2
22.222.5
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End2.6
red by 12.9
5619
#33
13.12.0
11.413.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned