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Red69
564132.5
553122.6
152816.6
Blue87
663741.9
922615.5
341447.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66113501001502006987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+12
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
11Coral scored#11
40Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
50Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
69Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5641
#17
32.50.2
30.230.4
Auto6.2
Teleop25.1
End1.2
blue by 15.4
47.90.8
44.643.7
Auto12.1
Teleop30.7
End5.0
Second
5531
#15
22.60.2
19.619.8
Auto6.0
Teleop14.4
End2.3
blue by 19.3
6637
#22
41.90.8
35.835.0
Auto11.0
Teleop30.0
End0.8
Third
1528
#30
16.60.3
13.013.3
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End0.6
red by 1.1
9226
#26
15.51.1
16.415.3
Auto1.9
Teleop13.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed