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Red136
836219.5
24550.2
828035.1
Blue108
925127.0
505025.5
852231.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9581050150136108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+22Teleop
+30Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave0
8Coral scored#4
41Coral points19
47Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +6
14Coral scored#16
49Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
75Total teleop81
Reef
11L4#8
5L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#25
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points2
136Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#1
50.22.5
42.344.8
Auto11.6
Teleop33.2
End5.4
red by 18.9
8522
#31
31.31.2
30.231.4
Auto5.4
Teleop23.6
End2.3
Second
8280
#12
35.12.5
28.731.2
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.1
red by 8.1
9251
#10
27.01.2
25.126.3
Auto7.5
Teleop17.9
End1.5
Third
8362
#21
19.53.1
15.919.0
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End1.2
blue by 6.0
5050
#13
25.51.2
21.422.6
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed