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Red133
118944.5
262039.0
285137.9
Blue120
608143.0
28012.7
931238.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1288750100150200133120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +16
22Coral scored#14
80Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
12Processor points12
16Net points28
28Algae points40
108Total teleop92
Reef
11L4#6
4L3#4
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points6
133Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.51.8
41.443.2
Auto7.4
Teleop28.4
End8.7
red by 1.5
6081
#29
43.02.2
34.636.8
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End6.1
Second
2620
#16
39.01.5
41.342.8
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End7.5
red by 0.1
38.82.2
33.035.2
Auto12.7
Teleop23.8
End2.3
Third
2851
#11
37.91.5
28.529.9
Auto5.3
Teleop30.3
End2.3
red by 25.2
280
#38
12.72.7
13.215.9
Auto1.3
Teleop10.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned