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Red117
945510.8
366739.7
718832.9
Blue101
504625.9
564132.5
602924.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93854060100120140160117101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+18Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +7
19Coral scored#13
68Coral points45
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#4
12Processor points24
12Net points16
24Algae points40
92Total teleop85
Reef
11L4#3
7L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
117Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.71.9
37.639.5
Auto9.6
Teleop28.6
End1.5
red by 7.2
5641
#17
32.51.2
30.431.6
Auto6.2
Teleop25.1
End1.2
Second
7188
#39
32.92.4
27.730.1
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End0.0
red by 6.9
5046
#27
25.91.2
22.523.7
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End2.6
Third
9455
#35
10.81.9
11.713.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End1.7
blue by 13.2
6029
#24
24.01.2
18.619.8
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsMissed