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Red75
922615.5
152816.6
602924.0
Blue73
836219.5
931238.8
561913.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4677020601001201401607573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+12
Endgame+4
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +2
8Coral scored#8
27Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
45Total teleop43
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
6Foul points0
75Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6029
#24
24.01.3
19.821.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End8.8
blue by 14.8
38.80.4
35.235.6
Auto12.7
Teleop23.8
End2.3
Second
1528
#30
16.61.5
15.216.6
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End0.6
blue by 2.8
8362
#21
19.50.5
19.019.5
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End1.2
Third
9226
#26
15.51.5
14.015.5
Auto1.9
Teleop13.3
End0.3
red by 2.4
5619
#33
13.10.5
12.613.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed