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Red90
852231.3
608143.0
Blue117
553122.6
125029.4
828035.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8890708010011090117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+29
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +27
6Leave9
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points27
9Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +2
11Coral scored#13
41Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
65Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
90Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#29
43.00.9
36.837.7
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End6.1
red by 7.9
8280
#12
35.12.6
31.233.8
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.1
Second
8522
#31
31.30.9
31.432.2
Auto5.4
Teleop23.6
End2.3
red by 1.9
1250
#25
29.42.6
26.529.1
Auto5.2
Teleop20.7
End3.4
Third
9.60.9
8.79.6
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End1.7
blue by 13.0
5531
#15
22.62.6
20.022.6
Auto6.0
Teleop14.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsEarned