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Red63
965112.7
81542.3
812415.1
Blue74
24022.8
476816.2
12330.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78750501001502002506374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+9
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +1
10Coral scored#10
36Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
50Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#4
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
63Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
815
#3
42.30.3
39.539.1
Auto6.4
Teleop34.1
End1.8
red by 12.1
123
#20
30.20.4
29.630.0
Auto6.3
Teleop22.6
End1.3
Second
8124
#34
15.10.3
15.415.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.1
blue by 7.7
240
#14
22.80.4
22.122.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End2.6
Third
9651
#32
12.70.3
13.112.7
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End0.6
blue by 3.4
4768
#28
16.20.5
15.716.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed