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Red195
516645.5
341447.9
24550.2
Blue85
605715.4
691426.0
526316.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1616205010020025019585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+106Teleop
+110Endgame
+110Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
0Leave3
9Coral scored#1
44Coral points6
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +71
24Coral scored#13
85Coral points46
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
18Processor points6
24Net points4
42Algae points10
127Total teleop56
Reef
13L4#4
10L3#5
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
24Cage & park20
24Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +110
0Foul points0
195Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#1
50.22.5
44.847.3
Auto11.6
Teleop33.2
End5.4
red by 24.2
6914
#19
26.00.0
24.824.8
Auto3.9
Teleop18.6
End3.5
Second
47.92.5
44.446.9
Auto12.1
Teleop30.7
End5.0
red by 31.9
5263
#23
16.00.0
16.016.0
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End4.4
Third
45.52.8
41.744.5
Auto8.2
Teleop29.7
End7.5
red by 30.0
6057
#18
15.40.0
15.515.4
Auto2.1
Teleop8.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned