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Red64
71917.1
663741.9
504625.9
Blue38
28012.7
945510.8
262039.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions808340506070901001101206438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+32Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +39
12Coral scored#4
44Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
58Total teleop19
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
64Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6637
#22
41.90.9
37.536.6
Auto11.0
Teleop30.0
End0.8
red by 3.0
2620
#16
39.02.9
42.839.9
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End7.5
Second
5046
#27
25.90.9
23.722.8
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End2.6
red by 13.2
280
#38
12.73.2
15.912.7
Auto1.3
Teleop10.2
End1.2
Third
7191
#36
7.10.9
8.07.1
Auto0.2
Teleop6.1
End0.7
blue by 3.7
9455
#35
10.82.9
13.710.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed