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Red146
925127.0
718832.9
362066.9
Blue150
505025.5
360450.6
285137.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13610950100150200146150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points23
40Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +12
16Coral scored#21
58Coral points76
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
18Processor points12
16Net points16
34Algae points28
92Total teleop104
Reef
8L4#10
5L3#6
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points6
146Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.91.6
62.464.0
Auto19.6
Teleop36.2
End11.2
red by 16.3
50.62.7
48.250.8
Auto9.0
Teleop36.9
End4.7
Second
7188
#39
32.91.8
30.131.9
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End0.0
blue by 5.1
2851
#11
37.92.7
29.932.6
Auto5.3
Teleop30.3
End2.3
Third
9251
#10
27.01.6
26.327.9
Auto7.5
Teleop17.9
End1.5
red by 1.5
5050
#13
25.52.7
22.625.3
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned