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Red77
922615.5
125029.4
366739.7
Blue121
118944.5
965112.7
564132.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9398608012014077121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+30
Endgame+42
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +26
10Coral scored#18
37Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
61Total teleop87
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#7
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points2
77Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.71.1
39.538.4
Auto9.6
Teleop28.6
End1.5
blue by 4.8
44.51.5
43.244.7
Auto7.4
Teleop28.4
End8.7
Second
1250
#25
29.41.1
27.626.5
Auto5.2
Teleop20.7
End3.4
blue by 3.1
5641
#17
32.51.4
31.633.0
Auto6.2
Teleop25.1
End1.2
Third
9226
#26
15.51.3
15.314.0
Auto1.9
Teleop13.3
End0.3
red by 2.8
9651
#32
12.71.4
11.713.1
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned