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Red109
152816.6
12330.2
516645.5
Blue120
341447.9
24022.8
81542.3
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841184060100140160180200109120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+5
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +5
17Coral scored#12
60Coral points43
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
12Processor points18
8Net points24
20Algae points42
80Total teleop85
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#5
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
109Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.51.8
39.941.7
Auto8.2
Teleop29.7
End7.5
blue by 2.4
47.90.7
43.744.4
Auto12.1
Teleop30.7
End5.0
Second
123
#20
30.21.5
28.129.6
Auto6.3
Teleop22.6
End1.3
blue by 12.1
815
#3
42.30.7
38.839.5
Auto6.4
Teleop34.1
End1.8
Third
1528
#30
16.61.8
13.315.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End0.6
blue by 6.2
240
#14
22.80.7
21.422.1
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed