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Red55
605715.4
553122.6
71917.1
Blue37
812415.1
561913.1
58%Model gave it42%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504402060801005537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
7Coral scored#4
25Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
39Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#2
1L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
55Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5531
#15
22.60.2
19.820.0
Auto6.0
Teleop14.4
End2.3
red by 7.5
8124
#34
15.10.6
16.115.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Second
6057
#18
15.40.2
15.315.5
Auto2.1
Teleop8.8
End4.6
red by 2.4
5619
#33
13.10.8
13.412.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Third
7191
#36
7.10.2
7.88.0
Auto0.2
Teleop6.1
End0.7
blue by 2.5
9.60.6
9.48.7
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed