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Red170
718832.9
341447.9
516645.5
Blue126
691426.0
366739.7
828035.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14911250100200250170126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+30Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +30
24Coral scored#21
86Coral points74
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
124Total teleop94
Reef
13L4#15
9L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#31
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
170Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.90.7
46.947.6
Auto12.1
Teleop30.7
End5.0
red by 8.2
39.70.3
38.438.8
Auto9.6
Teleop28.6
End1.5
Second
45.50.7
44.545.2
Auto8.2
Teleop29.7
End7.5
red by 10.4
8280
#12
35.10.3
33.834.1
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.1
Third
7188
#39
32.90.7
31.932.6
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End0.0
red by 6.9
6914
#19
26.00.3
24.825.1
Auto3.9
Teleop18.6
End3.5