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Red131
118944.5
360450.6
564132.5
Blue175
285137.9
608143.0
663741.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15012180100140160180200220131175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+32
Endgame+32
Fouls+44
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave9
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points17
34Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +40
18Coral scored#23
65Coral points83
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#7
6Processor points12
12Net points28
18Algae points40
83Total teleop123
Reef
11L4#10
5L3#8
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points12
131Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.60.0
50.850.8
Auto9.0
Teleop36.9
End4.7
red by 7.6
6081
#29
43.01.2
37.738.9
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End6.1
Second
44.50.0
44.744.7
Auto7.4
Teleop28.4
End8.7
red by 2.6
6637
#22
41.91.2
36.637.8
Auto11.0
Teleop30.0
End0.8
Third
5641
#17
32.50.0
33.033.0
Auto6.2
Teleop25.1
End1.2
blue by 5.5
2851
#11
37.91.2
32.633.8
Auto5.3
Teleop30.3
End2.3