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Red83
125029.4
505025.5
12330.2
Blue115
691426.0
366739.7
828035.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105120608010014016018083115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+28
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +14
17Coral scored#14
62Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#7
6Processor points6
4Net points28
10Algae points34
72Total teleop86
Reef
6L4#5
8L3#7
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
83Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#20
30.20.4
30.630.2
Auto6.3
Teleop22.6
End1.3
blue by 9.4
39.70.0
38.838.8
Auto9.6
Teleop28.6
End1.5
Second
1250
#25
29.40.4
29.729.4
Auto5.2
Teleop20.7
End3.4
blue by 5.7
8280
#12
35.10.0
34.134.2
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.1
Third
5050
#13
25.50.4
25.925.5
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End0.8
blue by 0.5
6914
#19
26.00.0
25.125.1
Auto3.9
Teleop18.6
End3.5