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Red139
360450.6
118944.5
24022.8
Blue90
262039.0
925127.0
852231.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13310640608012016018020013990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+39Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +25
20Coral scored#11
71Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
95Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#5
10L3#4
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
139Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.60.4
50.851.2
Auto9.0
Teleop36.9
End4.7
red by 11.6
2620
#16
39.00.2
39.239.0
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End7.5
Second
44.50.4
44.745.1
Auto7.4
Teleop28.4
End8.7
red by 13.2
8522
#31
31.30.2
31.531.3
Auto5.4
Teleop23.6
End2.3
Third
240
#14
22.80.4
22.522.9
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End2.6
blue by 4.1
9251
#10
27.00.2
27.227.0
Auto7.5
Teleop17.9
End1.5