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Red172
24550.2
362066.9
602924.0
Blue153
718832.9
341447.9
516645.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14413650100200250172153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+15Teleop
+25Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +8
23Coral scored#20
81Coral points71
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
18Processor points12
12Net points20
30Algae points32
111Total teleop103
Reef
13L4#9
8L3#7
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points6
172Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.90.7
64.064.7
Auto19.6
Teleop36.2
End11.2
red by 19.0
47.90.3
47.647.9
Auto12.1
Teleop30.7
End5.0
Second
245
#1
50.20.7
47.348.0
Auto11.6
Teleop33.2
End5.4
red by 4.7
45.50.3
45.245.5
Auto8.2
Teleop29.7
End7.5
Third
6029
#24
24.00.7
21.221.8
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End8.8
blue by 8.9
7188
#39
32.90.3
32.632.9
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End0.0