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Red146
285137.9
608143.0
663741.9
Blue133
81542.3
504625.9
931238.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261096080100140160180200146133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+1Teleop
+11Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave6
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points32
37Total auto38
TeleoperatedRed +2
15Coral scored#18
53Coral points65
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
18Processor points12
24Net points16
42Algae points28
95Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#8
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +13
2Foul points0
146Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#29
43.00.7
38.939.6
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End6.1
red by 0.7
815
#3
42.30.8
39.340.1
Auto6.4
Teleop34.1
End1.8
Second
6637
#22
41.90.7
37.838.5
Auto11.0
Teleop30.0
End0.8
red by 3.1
38.80.8
35.836.6
Auto12.7
Teleop23.8
End2.3
Third
2851
#11
37.90.7
33.834.5
Auto5.3
Teleop30.3
End2.3
red by 12.0
5046
#27
25.90.8
22.923.7
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End2.6