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Red123
718832.9
341447.9
516645.5
Blue127
360450.6
118944.5
24022.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142129100200250123127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+18Teleop
+8Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +11
13Coral scored#12
47Coral points44
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
18Processor points6
12Net points16
30Algae points22
77Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points12
123Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.90.1
47.947.9
Auto12.1
Teleop30.7
End5.0
blue by 2.8
50.60.1
51.251.1
Auto9.0
Teleop36.9
End4.7
Second
45.50.1
45.545.5
Auto8.2
Teleop29.7
End7.5
red by 1.0
44.50.1
45.145.0
Auto7.4
Teleop28.4
End8.7
Third
7188
#39
32.90.1
32.932.9
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End0.0
red by 10.0
240
#14
22.80.1
22.922.8
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End2.6