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Red157
81542.3
504625.9
931238.8
Blue153
691426.0
366739.7
828035.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12012290100110130140150160157153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+2
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points31
41Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +10
18Coral scored#24
66Coral points86
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
104Total teleop114
Reef
9L4#8
7L3#11
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#6
33Game pieces#36
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +4
6Foul points0
157Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
815
#3
42.30.9
40.140.9
Auto6.4
Teleop34.1
End1.8
red by 2.6
39.70.9
38.839.7
Auto9.6
Teleop28.6
End1.5
Second
38.80.9
36.637.4
Auto12.7
Teleop23.8
End2.3
red by 3.8
8280
#12
35.10.9
34.235.1
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.1
Third
5046
#27
25.90.9
23.724.5
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End2.6
blue by 0.1
6914
#19
26.00.9
25.126.0
Auto3.9
Teleop18.6
End3.5