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Red182
7068.2
191869.9
214559.9
Blue230
2781.1
721163.2
353969.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210227150200250300182230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+30
Endgame+40
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +23
9Leave0
6Coral scored#12
28Coral points60
37Total auto60
TeleoperatedBlue +7
16Coral scored#24
57Coral points88
3Processor algae#3
11Net algae#5
18Processor points18
44Net points20
62Algae points38
119Total teleop126
Reef
8L4#18
5L3#8
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#6
36Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points8
182Total score230

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.90.4
70.469.9
Auto11.3
Teleop48.2
End10.3
blue by 11.1
27
#3
81.10.1
81.081.1
Auto19.0
Teleop50.7
End11.4
Second
70
#16
68.20.4
68.668.2
Auto15.4
Teleop41.9
End10.8
blue by 1.3
3539
#13
69.50.1
69.469.5
Auto21.2
Teleop40.3
End8.0
Third
2145
#22
59.90.4
60.459.9
Auto18.0
Teleop37.0
End4.9
blue by 3.3
7211
#18
63.20.1
63.163.2
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End9.7