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Red232
7068.2
191869.9
214559.9
Blue234
2781.1
721163.2
353969.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208227150250300232234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+8Teleop
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave3
10Coral scored#9
51Coral points47
51Total auto50
TeleoperatedRed +7
31Coral scored#28
113Coral points102
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
18Processor points18
24Net points28
42Algae points46
155Total teleop148
Reef
14L4#9
14L3#14
8L2#8
5L1 · trough#6
50Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
232Total score234

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.90.8
69.670.4
Auto11.3
Teleop48.2
End10.3
blue by 11.1
27
#3
81.10.5
80.581.0
Auto19.0
Teleop50.7
End11.4
Second
70
#16
68.20.8
67.868.6
Auto15.4
Teleop41.9
End10.8
blue by 1.3
3539
#13
69.50.5
68.969.4
Auto21.2
Teleop40.3
End8.0
Third
2145
#22
59.90.8
59.660.4
Auto18.0
Teleop37.0
End4.9
blue by 3.3
7211
#18
63.20.5
62.663.1
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End9.7