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Red218
860871.8
442255.4
931256.7
Blue229
2781.1
721163.2
353969.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193228100150250300218229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+5
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave3
12Coral scored#9
58Coral points47
58Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +23
27Coral scored#28
96Coral points101
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
12Processor points18
16Net points28
28Algae points46
124Total teleop147
Reef
15L4#10
11L3#15
8L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#47
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points6
218Total score229

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.80.8
71.071.8
Auto20.9
Teleop42.1
End8.8
blue by 9.3
27
#3
81.10.3
80.280.5
Auto19.0
Teleop50.7
End11.4
Second
56.70.8
55.956.7
Auto17.9
Teleop32.2
End6.6
blue by 12.8
3539
#13
69.50.3
68.668.9
Auto21.2
Teleop40.3
End8.0
Third
4422
#17
55.40.8
54.655.4
Auto12.4
Teleop32.3
End10.7
blue by 7.8
7211
#18
63.20.3
62.362.6
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End9.7