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Red240
931256.7
7068.2
214559.9
Blue239
2781.1
721163.2
6636.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168197100150250300240239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
10Coral scored#7
51Coral points34
51Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +8
31Coral scored#34
111Coral points123
4Processor algae#4
7Net algae#6
24Processor points24
28Net points24
52Algae points48
163Total teleop171
Reef
15L4#18
11L3#12
9L2#7
6L1 · trough#4
52Game pieces#51
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points2
240Total score239

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#16
68.24.0
57.361.3
Auto15.4
Teleop41.9
End10.8
blue by 12.9
27
#3
81.12.4
75.377.7
Auto19.0
Teleop50.7
End11.4
Second
2145
#22
59.94.0
47.351.3
Auto18.0
Teleop37.0
End4.9
blue by 3.3
7211
#18
63.22.4
60.162.5
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End9.7
Third
56.74.0
48.552.5
Auto17.9
Teleop32.2
End6.6
red by 20.2
66
#40
36.52.4
36.238.6
Auto6.0
Teleop26.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsEarned81%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned