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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149186100200250164149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+23Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points35
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +44
28Coral scored#18
99Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
125Total teleop81
Reef
11L4#8
8L3#7
7L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
164Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5577
#28
53.01.1
53.554.6
Auto10.4
Teleop40.3
End2.3
blue by 24.5
77.61.7
73.271.5
Auto24.2
Teleop44.0
End9.3
Second
3770
#26
52.11.1
48.049.1
Auto5.3
Teleop36.3
End10.5
blue by 9.8
3414
#19
61.81.7
53.051.3
Auto14.8
Teleop40.8
End6.3
Third
8280
#36
36.11.1
34.936.0
Auto13.5
Teleop19.9
End2.8
blue by 5.2
573
#31
41.41.7
37.735.9
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned49%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned