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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170182120140160200220240260192227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+23
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
9Coral scored#10
44Coral points52
44Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +9
23Coral scored#30
82Coral points107
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#2
18Processor points18
24Net points8
42Algae points26
124Total teleop133
Reef
14L4#15
7L3#9
6L2#12
5L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
192Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.91.6
60.962.5
Auto11.3
Teleop48.2
End10.3
blue by 4.9
74.83.2
66.669.8
Auto19.6
Teleop49.4
End5.8
Second
68
#24
67.61.6
60.762.3
Auto19.5
Teleop39.3
End8.8
blue by 1.1
2832
#12
68.73.2
62.265.4
Auto23.3
Teleop39.3
End6.0
Third
8517
#33
36.01.6
35.336.9
Auto8.1
Teleop25.6
End2.3
blue by 13.6
2771
#11
49.63.2
38.842.0
Auto10.7
Teleop32.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned90%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned