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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14215350100200250181173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+26Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +26
31Coral scored#26
111Coral points93
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
143Total teleop117
Reef
9L4#12
12L3#7
6L2#6
8L1 · trough#6
42Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +18
8Cage & park26
8Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
181Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5907
#10
54.92.6
45.648.2
Auto13.2
Teleop38.7
End3.0
blue by 0.5
4422
#17
55.41.5
50.552.0
Auto12.4
Teleop32.3
End10.7
Second
6618
#20
50.52.6
45.648.3
Auto11.6
Teleop35.1
End3.8
blue by 3.5
5530
#32
54.01.5
47.549.0
Auto14.6
Teleop33.6
End5.8
Third
43.32.6
38.841.5
Auto3.0
Teleop37.4
End2.9
blue by 3.5
8873
#23
46.81.5
41.042.5
Auto7.5
Teleop30.3
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned