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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152207100250300171184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+13
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave3
6Coral scored#10
30Coral points51
30Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +11
21Coral scored#17
77Coral points62
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
18Processor points18
20Net points24
38Algae points42
115Total teleop104
Reef
6L4#7
9L3#10
7L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
171Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#16
68.20.9
56.457.3
Auto15.4
Teleop41.9
End10.8
blue by 12.9
27
#3
81.11.2
76.575.3
Auto19.0
Teleop50.7
End11.4
Second
1481
#25
48.80.9
48.549.3
Auto9.1
Teleop35.1
End4.6
blue by 23.0
71.81.2
64.963.7
Auto20.9
Teleop42.1
End8.8
Third
1711
#38
37.00.9
41.642.5
Auto9.5
Teleop19.1
End8.4
blue by 19.7
56.71.2
49.648.5
Auto17.9
Teleop32.2
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed81%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned