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Qual 372025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - DTE Energy Foundation Division
Red129
148148.8
277149.6
851736.0
Blue171
85749.3
353969.5
468043.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143168100120160180200220240129171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+20
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points33
29Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +16
17Coral scored#22
60Coral points78
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
12Processor points18
24Net points16
36Algae points34
96Total teleop112
Reef
8L4#11
8L3#6
4L2#8
2L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
129Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#11
49.60.7
42.0→41.3
Auto10.7
Teleop32.7
End6.2
blue by 19.9
3539
#13
69.50.8
60.7→61.5
Auto21.2
Teleop40.3
End8.0
Second
1481
#25
48.80.7
49.3→48.6
Auto9.1
Teleop35.1
End4.6
blue by 0.5
857
#30
49.30.8
45.0→45.8
Auto12.5
Teleop29.1
End7.6
Third
8517
#33
36.00.7
36.9→36.2
Auto8.1
Teleop25.6
End2.3
blue by 7.3
4680
#9
43.30.8
41.5→42.3
Auto3.0
Teleop37.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned