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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146193100250151173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points34
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +10
17Coral scored#17
60Coral points60
3Processor algae#4
3Net algae#4
18Processor points24
12Net points16
30Algae points40
90Total teleop100
Reef
9L4#9
8L3#8
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
151Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#24
67.60.2
62.362.5
Auto19.5
Teleop39.3
End8.8
blue by 2.3
69.91.0
62.561.5
Auto11.3
Teleop48.2
End10.3
Second
5530
#32
54.00.2
49.049.2
Auto14.6
Teleop33.6
End5.8
blue by 14.7
2832
#12
68.71.0
65.464.4
Auto23.3
Teleop39.3
End6.0
Third
4998
#21
28.30.2
26.126.2
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End5.2
blue by 23.8
3770
#26
52.11.0
49.148.1
Auto5.3
Teleop36.3
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned46%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned