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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182210150200250300203230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave0
8Coral scored#10
42Coral points50
51Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +28
21Coral scored#30
76Coral points108
3Processor algae#3
8Net algae#7
18Processor points18
32Net points28
50Algae points46
126Total teleop154
Reef
13L4#15
4L3#12
7L2#6
5L1 · trough#7
40Game pieces#50
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
203Total score230

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.81.3
63.765.0
Auto20.9
Teleop42.1
End8.8
blue by 13.4
33
#7
85.21.6
78.980.4
Auto19.7
Teleop56.0
End9.5
Second
3414
#19
61.81.3
51.352.6
Auto14.8
Teleop40.8
End6.3
blue by 13.0
74.81.6
69.871.4
Auto19.6
Teleop49.4
End5.8
Third
3655
#15
55.51.3
56.658.0
Auto13.2
Teleop33.1
End9.1
red by 4.7
50.81.6
46.648.2
Auto11.5
Teleop30.0
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed90%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned