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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271290200300400500600119161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+34
Endgame+36
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave9
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points27
16Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +14
15Coral scored#17
55Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
79Total teleop93
Reef
8L4#11
5L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points6
119Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#20
50.50.1
48.348.4
Auto11.6
Teleop35.1
End3.8
blue by 14.2
2611
#27
64.72.6
53.055.6
Auto17.7
Teleop43.5
End3.4
Second
8873
#23
46.80.1
42.542.6
Auto7.5
Teleop30.3
End8.9
blue by 1.4
5509
#14
48.22.6
39.241.8
Auto8.6
Teleop29.6
End10.0
Third
4453
#35
26.20.1
26.927.0
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End4.3
blue by 0.8
9685
#34
26.92.6
23.726.3
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned