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Qual 412025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - DTE Energy Foundation Division
Red169
277149.6
931256.7
442255.4
Blue156
7068.2
557753.0
400349.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167176120140160200220240169156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+11Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
9Coral scored#6
45Coral points30
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +10
16Coral scored#17
56Coral points62
5Processor algae#3
4Net algae#8
30Processor points18
16Net points32
46Algae points50
102Total teleop112
Reef
11L4#7
5L3#8
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#34
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
169Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9312
#2
56.71.4
52.5→53.9
Auto17.9
Teleop32.2
End6.6
blue by 11.4
70
#16
68.20.1
61.3→61.2
Auto15.4
Teleop41.9
End10.8
Second
4422
#17
55.41.4
54.4→55.8
Auto12.4
Teleop32.3
End10.7
red by 2.4
5577
#28
53.00.1
54.6→54.5
Auto10.4
Teleop40.3
End2.3
Third
2771
#11
49.61.4
41.3→42.7
Auto10.7
Teleop32.7
End6.2
red by 0.3
4003
#29
49.30.1
41.9→41.7
Auto8.2
Teleop36.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed59%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned