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Red186
6867.6
468043.3
721163.2
Blue164
24751.9
85749.3
214559.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202164100150250300186164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+18Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
7Coral scored#8
37Coral points38
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +25
24Coral scored#24
85Coral points86
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
24Processor points6
20Net points12
44Algae points18
129Total teleop104
Reef
14L4#15
9L3#5
5L2#8
3L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#36
BargeRed +4
20Cage & park16
20Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
186Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#24
67.61.2
62.563.7
Auto19.5
Teleop39.3
End8.8
red by 7.7
2145
#22
59.91.3
51.352.6
Auto18.0
Teleop37.0
End4.9
Second
7211
#18
63.21.2
62.563.7
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End9.7
red by 11.3
247
#39
51.91.3
47.148.4
Auto8.7
Teleop35.5
End7.7
Third
43.31.2
42.343.6
Auto3.0
Teleop37.4
End2.9
blue by 6.0
857
#30
49.31.3
45.847.2
Auto12.5
Teleop29.1
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned