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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1851760100300400500600194193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+9
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
8Coral scored#9
40Coral points44
40Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +2
23Coral scored#28
82Coral points100
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#3
18Processor points18
28Net points12
46Algae points30
128Total teleop130
Reef
10L4#10
9L3#7
7L2#12
5L1 · trough#8
41Game pieces#43
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
194Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.81.0
65.066.1
Auto20.9
Teleop42.1
End8.8
red by 3.1
2832
#12
68.71.5
64.465.9
Auto23.3
Teleop39.3
End6.0
Second
5530
#32
54.01.0
49.250.2
Auto14.6
Teleop33.6
End5.8
blue by 1.0
5907
#10
54.91.5
50.652.1
Auto13.2
Teleop38.7
End3.0
Third
50.81.0
48.249.2
Auto11.5
Teleop30.0
End9.4
red by 14.3
66
#40
36.51.5
38.640.1
Auto6.0
Teleop26.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned77%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned