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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11318550100150200250119149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+36
Endgame+14
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +13
9Leave6
4Coral scored#7
18Coral points34
27Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +23
12Coral scored#18
42Coral points65
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
66Total teleop89
Reef
8L4#7
4L3#10
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#30
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points16
119Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#30
49.30.3
47.247.4
Auto12.5
Teleop29.1
End7.6
blue by 31.8
27
#3
81.12.1
77.775.6
Auto19.0
Teleop50.7
End11.4
Second
8517
#33
36.00.3
36.236.5
Auto8.1
Teleop25.6
End2.3
blue by 17.0
5577
#28
53.02.1
54.552.4
Auto10.4
Teleop40.3
End2.3
Third
4998
#21
28.30.3
26.226.5
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End5.2
red by 2.1
4453
#35
26.22.1
27.024.8
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed80%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsMissed