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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1491165010020011277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+23Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
22Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
13Coral scored#10
46Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
64Total teleop47
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
112Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7211
#18
63.21.1
64.863.7
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End9.7
red by 26.2
1711
#38
37.01.9
44.042.1
Auto9.5
Teleop19.1
End8.4
Second
573
#31
41.41.1
37.035.9
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End7.0
red by 5.3
8517
#33
36.01.9
34.532.6
Auto8.1
Teleop25.6
End2.3
Third
4998
#21
28.31.1
26.725.6
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End5.2
red by 1.4
9685
#34
26.91.9
27.025.1
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned