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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174199100150250180192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+12
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
8Coral scored#10
41Coral points51
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +5
24Coral scored#24
88Coral points87
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
120Total teleop125
Reef
9L4#15
11L3#9
9L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
180Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#27
64.70.4
59.660.0
Auto17.7
Teleop43.5
End3.4
blue by 12.9
77.60.5
72.673.1
Auto24.2
Teleop44.0
End9.3
Second
5530
#32
54.00.4
51.952.3
Auto14.6
Teleop33.6
End5.8
blue by 17.8
71.80.5
66.266.7
Auto20.9
Teleop42.1
End8.8
Third
6618
#20
50.50.4
51.551.9
Auto11.6
Teleop35.1
End3.8
red by 14.4
8280
#36
36.10.5
34.635.1
Auto13.5
Teleop19.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsEarned65%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned