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Red225
353969.5
277149.6
590754.9
Blue219
3385.2
377052.1
6636.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175190120140160200220240260225219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave3
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points16
44Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +21
33Coral scored#38
119Coral points138
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
18Processor points12
16Net points24
34Algae points36
153Total teleop174
Reef
15L4#9
13L3#13
6L2#11
7L1 · trough#8
48Game pieces#49
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
2Foul points0
225Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#13
69.52.9
63.866.7
Auto21.2
Teleop40.3
End8.0
blue by 15.7
33
#7
85.21.6
80.682.3
Auto19.7
Teleop56.0
End9.5
Second
5907
#10
54.92.9
54.056.8
Auto13.2
Teleop38.7
End3.0
red by 2.8
3770
#26
52.11.6
49.551.1
Auto5.3
Teleop36.3
End10.5
Third
2771
#11
49.62.9
44.247.1
Auto10.7
Teleop32.7
End6.2
red by 13.1
66
#40
36.51.6
38.339.9
Auto6.0
Teleop26.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned38%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned