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Red209
214559.9
365555.5
2781.1
Blue210
400349.3
887346.8
6867.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions205158100250300209210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+9Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
8Coral scored#6
38Coral points28
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +2
23Coral scored#27
81Coral points97
5Processor algae#4
7Net algae#4
30Processor points24
28Net points16
58Algae points40
139Total teleop137
Reef
8L4#13
7L3#9
10L2#6
6L1 · trough#5
43Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
209Total score210

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
81.10.9
73.574.4
Auto19.0
Teleop50.7
End11.4
red by 13.5
68
#24
67.63.2
63.967.2
Auto19.5
Teleop39.3
End8.8
Second
2145
#22
59.90.9
52.153.0
Auto18.0
Teleop37.0
End4.9
red by 10.7
4003
#29
49.33.2
43.246.5
Auto8.2
Teleop36.5
End4.5
Third
3655
#15
55.50.9
59.160.0
Auto13.2
Teleop33.1
End9.1
red by 8.7
8873
#23
46.83.2
43.146.3
Auto7.5
Teleop30.3
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
93%Coral oddsEarned49%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned