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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148202100250136192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+34
Teleop+68
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +34
6Leave3
2Coral scored#9
10Coral points47
16Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +34
14Coral scored#22
52Coral points78
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
12Processor points12
20Net points28
32Algae points40
84Total teleop118
Reef
5L4#9
6L3#13
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#40
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
136Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#30
49.30.3
47.447.1
Auto12.5
Teleop29.1
End7.6
blue by 25.6
74.80.9
71.872.7
Auto19.6
Teleop49.4
End5.8
Second
1481
#25
48.80.3
51.150.7
Auto9.1
Teleop35.1
End4.6
blue by 6.6
4422
#17
55.40.9
54.755.6
Auto12.4
Teleop32.3
End10.7
Third
5509
#14
48.20.3
42.442.0
Auto8.6
Teleop29.6
End10.0
blue by 4.8
5577
#28
53.00.9
52.453.2
Auto10.4
Teleop40.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned89%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned