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Red167
590754.9
377052.1
6867.6
Blue181
2781.1
148148.8
400349.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188184140160200220240260167181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+8Teleop
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave0
9Coral scored#7
44Coral points33
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +3
23Coral scored#26
81Coral points92
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#6
18Processor points6
20Net points24
38Algae points30
119Total teleop122
Reef
10L4#9
11L3#12
7L2#8
4L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
167Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#24
67.60.5
67.266.6
Auto19.5
Teleop39.3
End8.8
blue by 13.5
27
#3
81.10.6
74.475.0
Auto19.0
Teleop50.7
End11.4
Second
5907
#10
54.90.5
56.856.3
Auto13.2
Teleop38.7
End3.0
red by 5.7
4003
#29
49.30.6
46.547.1
Auto8.2
Teleop36.5
End4.5
Third
3770
#26
52.10.5
51.150.6
Auto5.3
Teleop36.3
End10.5
red by 3.3
1481
#25
48.80.6
50.751.4
Auto9.1
Teleop35.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsMissed86%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned