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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149171100200250157169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points31
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +9
19Coral scored#22
69Coral points78
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
97Total teleop106
Reef
12L4#11
5L3#6
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#5
34Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
157Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#12
68.70.6
66.967.5
Auto23.3
Teleop39.3
End6.0
blue by 0.9
3539
#13
69.50.3
66.766.9
Auto21.2
Teleop40.3
End8.0
Second
857
#30
49.30.6
47.147.7
Auto12.5
Teleop29.1
End7.6
blue by 7.5
56.70.3
52.252.5
Auto17.9
Teleop32.2
End6.6
Third
4453
#35
26.20.6
24.725.3
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End4.3
blue by 10.0
8280
#36
36.10.3
35.135.3
Auto13.5
Teleop19.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned65%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned