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Qual 632025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - DTE Energy Foundation Division
Red186
6636.5
341461.8
353874.8
Blue189
661850.5
499828.3
3385.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196177120140160220240260280186189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+7Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
8Coral scored#8
41Coral points38
47Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +4
24Coral scored#19
87Coral points69
4Processor algae#3
3Net algae#8
24Processor points18
12Net points32
36Algae points50
123Total teleop119
Reef
15L4#6
8L3#10
6L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points2
186Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#8
74.80.1
72.7→72.6
Auto19.6
Teleop49.4
End5.8
blue by 10.4
33
#7
85.20.7
82.3→83.0
Auto19.7
Teleop56.0
End9.5
Second
3414
#19
61.80.1
57.9→57.8
Auto14.8
Teleop40.8
End6.3
red by 11.3
6618
#20
50.50.7
51.9→52.6
Auto11.6
Teleop35.1
End3.8
Third
66
#40
36.50.1
39.9→39.8
Auto6.0
Teleop26.1
End4.3
red by 8.2
4998
#21
28.30.7
25.6→26.3
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsEarned68%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned