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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146182100200250149168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+1
Endgame+13
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +6
19Coral scored#20
69Coral points73
3Processor algae#4
9Net algae#5
18Processor points24
36Net points20
54Algae points44
123Total teleop117
Reef
8L4#11
7L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points6
149Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5577
#28
53.00.5
53.253.7
Auto10.4
Teleop40.3
End2.3
blue by 16.9
69.90.8
63.662.8
Auto11.3
Teleop48.2
End10.3
Second
43.30.5
41.642.1
Auto3.0
Teleop37.4
End2.9
blue by 12.2
3655
#15
55.50.8
60.059.2
Auto13.2
Teleop33.1
End9.1
Third
573
#31
41.40.5
35.936.4
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End7.0
red by 0.1
818
#37
41.30.8
38.938.2
Auto7.4
Teleop32.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned41%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned