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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159170100120140180200220240135149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+24
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave9
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points35
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +3
19Coral scored#19
68Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
88Total teleop91
Reef
10L4#9
6L3#8
3L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
135Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#26
52.10.9
50.649.7
Auto5.3
Teleop36.3
End10.5
blue by 9.8
3414
#19
61.80.4
57.857.3
Auto14.8
Teleop40.8
End6.3
Second
1481
#25
48.80.9
51.450.5
Auto9.1
Teleop35.1
End4.6
blue by 2.1
50.80.4
50.149.6
Auto11.5
Teleop30.0
End9.4
Third
8873
#23
46.80.9
46.245.4
Auto7.5
Teleop30.3
End8.9
blue by 2.5
857
#30
49.30.4
47.747.3
Auto12.5
Teleop29.1
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned