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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193158100150250214141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+59Teleop
+61Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave9
9Coral scored#5
45Coral points24
51Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +41
23Coral scored#16
83Coral points58
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#5
18Processor points6
24Net points20
42Algae points26
125Total teleop84
Reef
10L4#7
10L3#8
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
12Foul points0
214Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
81.11.5
75.076.5
Auto19.0
Teleop50.7
End11.4
red by 25.6
3655
#15
55.51.2
59.258.1
Auto13.2
Teleop33.1
End9.1
Second
3539
#13
69.51.5
66.968.4
Auto21.2
Teleop40.3
End8.0
red by 17.6
247
#39
51.91.2
52.551.4
Auto8.7
Teleop35.5
End7.7
Third
4998
#21
28.31.5
26.327.8
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End5.2
blue by 7.9
8280
#36
36.11.2
35.334.2
Auto13.5
Teleop19.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned